Collaborative scenario modelling: engaging stakeholders to unravel opportunities for urban adaptation planning

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61988987%3A17310%2F22%3AA2302CAP" target="_blank" >RIV/61988987:17310/22:A2302CAP - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209552200195X#f0005" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209552200195X#f0005</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101277" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101277</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Collaborative scenario modelling: engaging stakeholders to unravel opportunities for urban adaptation planning

Original language description

Uncertainties arising from the climate crisis and socioeconomic challenges require decision makers to advance climate change adaptation planning and practice. In response, many cities have adopted climate change adaptation strategies, which is also the case of cities in the Czech Republic. Although adaptation planning should be prospective, requiring long-term future oriented approaches and tools, the use of future scenarios have not been fully acknowledged yet. In this methodological paper, we introduce a combined approach for delivering spatially explicit future land use and land cover (LULC) scenarios developed as supporting tools for adaptation planning in three major Czech cities - Prague, Brno and Ostrava. The methodological approach consists of Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) downscaled to city level, to capture underpinning social, environmental and economic dynamics, of collaborative processes with city stakeholders, and computer modelling of LULCscenarios. While the collaborative process collects the perceptions and understandings of local needs, challenges and opportunities, the spatially explicit modelling of LULC changes allows for an easy-to-read visualization of the plausible futures. Also, nesting the scenarios in SSPs makes them consistent with global socioeconomic drivers. We propose that the introduced methodological approach can support adaptation planning by informing decision makers on plausible future urban developments, including stakes of diverse actors, hence allowing to address uncertainties and obstacles that might hinder adaptation efforts.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2022

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Urban Climate

ISSN

2212-0955

e-ISSN

2212-0955

Volume of the periodical

—

Issue of the periodical within the volume

101277

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

20

Pages from-to

1-20

UT code for WoS article

000857302400001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85138070996