Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27240%2F14%3A86089063" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27240/14:86089063 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/61989100:27740/14:86089063

Result on the web

<a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09518320/125" target="_blank" >http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09518320/125</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Original language description

Risk to safety of personnel in process industries is normally modeled in the application of Event Trees, where the risk is defined as a product of event frequency and its consequences. This method is steady state whilst the actual event is time dependent, comprising, for a gas release, as for example, the size of gas cloud being released, probabilities of ignition, fire or explosion, fatality, escalation to new releases and fire and/or explosion, and the probability of fatality, all varying with time. This Paper presents a method whereby the time-dependent events and the time-dependent probability of fatality are modeled by means of the direct Monte Carlo simulation method. Different accident scenarios are modeled and discussed resulting from Event Trees analysis. Using the simulation method the modeled scenarios change with relevant probabilities at defined times to configurations with appropriate probabilities of fatalities. Simple sensitivity analysis in dependency on most relevant

Czech name

—

Czech description

—

Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

BB - Applied statistics, operational research

OECD FORD branch

—

Project

<a href="/en/project/ED1.1.00%2F02.0070" target="_blank" >ED1.1.00/02.0070: IT4Innovations Centre of Excellence</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2014

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Reliability engineering and system safety

ISSN

0951-8320

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

125

Issue of the periodical within the volume

2014

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

13

Pages from-to

"54-66"

UT code for WoS article

000333790600007

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-84896313576