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Pressure-based Forecasting of Next-day Solar Energy Availability Using Evolutionary Fuzzy Rules

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27240%2F15%3A86096635" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27240/15:86096635 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2015.7337938" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2015.7337938</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2015.7337938" target="_blank" >10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2015.7337938</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Pressure-based Forecasting of Next-day Solar Energy Availability Using Evolutionary Fuzzy Rules

  • Original language description

    Prediction of solar energy availability is an important part of a number of applications, from weather and climate modeling, to forecasting power output of photovoltaic cells. This work proposes and evaluates the use of evolutionary fuzzy rules, discovered by genetic programming, for accurate and inexpensive forecasting of next day available solar energy, based solely on atmospheric pressure. The use of only one meteorological variable simplifies the collection, storage and prediction tasks, making thisapproach suitable for a number of hardware-limited applications. The proposed forecasting system uses a time series of pressure values for the hours leading up to the sunrise of the day for which predictions are made. The pressure values and their differences are submitted to the evolutionary optimizer that combines these values into simple fuzzy rules. The resulting rule set provides predictions that are a substantial improvement over simple analytical estimates. The results of pressur

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    IN - Informatics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2015

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Fuzzy Systems : proceedings : August 2-5, 2015, Istanbul, Turkey

  • ISBN

    978-1-4673-7428-6

  • ISSN

    1544-5615

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    1 - 8

  • Publisher name

    IEEE

  • Place of publication

    Danvers

  • Event location

    Istanbul

  • Event date

    Aug 2, 2015

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article

    000370288300139