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Modeling carbon price fluctuations of European Union Allowances

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F13%3A86086475" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/13:86086475 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Modeling carbon price fluctuations of European Union Allowances

  • Original language description

    This paper uses the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic models to estimate conditional variance in the daily returns of the daily carbon prices. Models are verified on data over the period from January 2008 to December 2012 for Spanish, German and Slovak carbon market. Models (GARCH and TARCH) include both symmetric and asymmetric models. The asymmetric power APARCH model for estimating the power parameter of the standard deviation is a further exten-sion. Empirical results show strong evidence that daily carbon returns could be modeled by the above mentioned models. The persistence coefficient is lower for Spanish and German carbon market than for the Slovak one. Our findings also confirm the presence of the leverage effect for Spanish and German carbon market. Estimated power coefficient is highest for German carbon market. ARCH-LM test statistics for all models did not re-veal any additional ARCH effect.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    AH - Economics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EE2.3.20.0296" target="_blank" >EE2.3.20.0296: Research team for modelling of economic and financial processes at VSB-TU Ostrava</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2013

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Strategic Management and its Support by Information Systems 2013 : 29th - 30th August, Valašské Meziříčí, Czech Republic

  • ISBN

    978-80-248-3096-4

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    14

  • Pages from-to

    56-69

  • Publisher name

    VŠB - Technická univerzita Ostrava

  • Place of publication

    Ostrava

  • Event location

    Valašské Meziříčí

  • Event date

    Aug 29, 2013

  • Type of event by nationality

    EUR - Evropská akce

  • UT code for WoS article

    000324842000005