Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F14%3A00230495" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/14:00230495 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/67179843:_____/14:00430075
Result on the web
<a href="http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2242.html" target="_blank" >http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2242.html</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242" target="_blank" >10.1038/nclimate2242</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change
Original language description
Europe is the largest producer of wheat, the second most widely grown cereal crop after rice. The increased occurrence and magnitude of adverse and extreme agroclimatic events are considered a major threat for wheat production. We present an analysis that accounts for a range of adverse weather events that might significantly affect wheat yield in Europe. For this purpose we analysed changes in the frequency of the occurrence of 11 adverse weather events. Using climate scenarios based on the most recentensemble of climate models and greenhouse gases emission estimates, we assessed the probability of single and multiple adverse events occurring within one season. We showed that the occurrence of adverse conditions for 14 sites representing the main European wheat-growing areas might substantially increase by 2060 compared to the present (1981--2010). This is likely to result in more frequent crop failure across Europe. This study provides essential information for developing adaptation
Czech name
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Czech description
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Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology
OECD FORD branch
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Project
Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2014
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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