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Enhanced Monte Carlo Singular System Analysis and Detection of Period 7.8 Years Oscillatory Modes in the Monthly NAO Index and Temperature Records

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F04%3A00105241" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/04:00105241 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Enhanced Monte Carlo Singular System Analysis and Detection of Period 7.8 Years Oscillatory Modes in the Monthly NAO Index and Temperature Records

  • Original language description

    An extension of the Monte Carlo Singular System Analysis (MC~SSA) is described, based on evaluating and testing regularity of dynamics of the SSA modes against the colored noise null hypothesis, in addition to the test based on variance (eigenvalues). The application of the regularity index, computed from a coarse-grained estimation of mutual information, enhances the test sensitivity and reliability in detection of relatively more regular dynamical modes than those obtained by decomposition of colorednoises, in particular, in detection of irregular oscillations embedded in red noise. This enhanced MC~SSA is successfully applied in detection of period 7.8 years oscillatory modes in records of monthly average near-surface air temperature from several European locations, as well as in the monthly North Atlantic Oscillation index.

  • Czech name

    Vylepšená metoda Monte Carlo Singular Systém Analysis a detekce oscilací s periodou 7,8 roku v měsíčním indexu NAO a teplotních záznamech

  • Czech description

    Je navrženo rozšíření metody Monte Carlo Singular Systém Analysis, ve které se testují dynamické vlastnosti SSA módů vůči nulové hypotéze barevného šumu navíc k testu variance (vlastních hodnot). Navržena metoda je úspěšně použita k detekci oscilací s periodou 7,8 roku v dlouhodobých záznamech přízemních teplot z několika evropských stanic a v měsíčním indexu severoatlantické oscilace.

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    BA - General mathematics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/IAA3042401" target="_blank" >IAA3042401: Solar and geomagnetic effects on the Northern Hemisphere tropospheric circulation</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2004

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics

  • ISSN

    1023-5809

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    11

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    -

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    9

  • Pages from-to

    721-729

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database