Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F10%3A00348314" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/10:00348314 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution

Original language description

We describe a statistical model which was developed from first principles and from empirical behavior of real data to characterize the relationship between the consumption of natural gas and temperature in several segments of a typical gas utility company's customer pool. Specifically, we will deal with household and small+medium (HOU+SMC) size commercial customers. The model is suitable for disaggregation of various observed functionals of the observed consumption process into smaller pieces, e.g. disaggregation of sums across both individual customers and time into original components. This amounts to (semiparametric statistical) estimation of the individual pieces and/or subsequent synthesis into other functionals of interest. The model is built asa GAM (generalized additive model) with a nonlinear temperature response and it has quite rich dynamic component. We formulate the model first in generality and then we illustrate its behavior on real data from a large scale project.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

C - Chapter in a specialist book

CEP classification

JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization

OECD FORD branch

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Project

<a href="/en/project/1ET400300513" target="_blank" >1ET400300513: Mathematical modelling of natural gas consumption for small and middle clients</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2010

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Book/collection name

Natural Gas

ISBN

978-953-307-112-1

Number of pages of the result

24

Pages from-to

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Number of pages of the book

606

Publisher name

Sciyo

Place of publication

Rijeka

UT code for WoS chapter

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