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Statistical Modelling in Climate Science

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F16%3A00462914" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/16:00462914 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00216208:11320/16:10335131

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1649/102.pdf" target="_blank" >http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1649/102.pdf</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Statistical Modelling in Climate Science

  • Original language description

    When it comes to modelling in atmospheric and climate science, the two main types of models are taken into account - dynamical and statistical models. The former ones have a physical basis: they utilize discretized differential equations with a set of conditions (boundary conditions + present state as an initial condition) and model the system’s state by integrating the equations forward in time. Models of this type are currently used e.g. as a numerical weather prediction models. The statistical models are considerably different: they are not based on physical mechanisms underlying the dynamics of the modelled system, but rather derived from the analysis of past weather patterns. An example of such a statistical model based on the idea of linear inverse modelling, is examined for modelling the El Nino - Southern Oscillation phenomenon with a focus on modelling cross-scale interactions in the temporal sense. Various noise parameterizations and the possibility of using a multi-variable model is discussed among other characteristics of the statistical model. The prospect of using statistical models with low complexity as a surrogate model for statistical testing of null hypotheses is also discussed.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    BB - Applied statistics, operational research

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2016

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Proceedings ITAT 2016: Information Technologies - Applications and Theory

  • ISBN

    978-1-5370-1674-0

  • ISSN

    1613-0073

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    102-109

  • Publisher name

    Technical University & CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform

  • Place of publication

    Aachen & Charleston

  • Event location

    Tatranské Matliare

  • Event date

    Sep 15, 2016

  • Type of event by nationality

    EUR - Evropská akce

  • UT code for WoS article