A different destiny after the ice age: Impacts of climate change on the global biogeography of Carasobarbus

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985904%3A_____%2F25%3A00618494" target="_blank" >RIV/67985904:_____/25:00618494 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/61988987:17310/25:A2603DEV

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2665972725000674?via%3Dihub" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2665972725000674?via%3Dihub</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2025.100646" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.indic.2025.100646</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

A different destiny after the ice age: Impacts of climate change on the global biogeography of Carasobarbus

Original language description

Climate change poses a significant global challenge, profoundly affecting species distribution. In recent years, research focusing on the impacts of climate change on freshwater taxa has been relatively limited compared to studies on terrestrial taxa. This study seeks to identify hotspots and occurrences of all Carasobarbus freshwater fish species while also predicting the potential implications of climate change through the use of ensemble species distribution modeling (ESDM). Analyze climatic changes across various temporal scales: the Mid- Holocene (6000 years BP), the Last Glacial Maximum (21,000 years BP), the present, and future projections (2061-2080). Global circulation models (GCMs) showed strong predictive capabilities for the species climatic niches, with Area under the curve (AUC) and true skill statistics (TSS) values. Key predictors included Annual Mean Temperature, Mean Temperature of the Driest Quarter, and Precipitation of the Driest Month. The analysis revealed varied responses to climate change: Five and seven species are expected to lose climatically suitable habitats (losers) in SSP 126 and SSP 585, respectively, indicating heightened vulnerability, in SSP126 and SSP 585 four and three species are expected to see an increase (Winners) in their range respectively, and additionally, in SSP 126 and SSP 585 two and one species are anticipated to maintain approximately stable (Under 1 % change) distributions within their ranges under the specified scenarios. Additionally, the Iran-Anatolian hotspot emerges as crucial for Carasobarbus populations globally. The research highlights the effects of climate change on Carasobarbus distribution patterns, providing essential insights for conservation strategies and management to protect biodiversity in vulnerable regions.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10602 - Biology (theoretical, mathematical, thermal, cryobiology, biological rhythm), Evolutionary biology

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Environmental and Sustainability Indicators

ISSN

2665-9727

e-ISSN

2665-9727

Volume of the periodical

26

Issue of the periodical within the volume

JUN 25

Country of publishing house

US - UNITED STATES

Number of pages

14

Pages from-to

100646

UT code for WoS article

001432160100001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85218259475