Predicted range shifts of alien tree species in Europe
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F23%3A00574207" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/23:00574207 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109650" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109650</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109650" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109650</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Predicted range shifts of alien tree species in Europe
Original language description
Alien tree species are considered both a threat to nature conservation and a base for forest management. We compiled species occurrences from biodiversity databases, forest inventories, and literature data. We modeledthe availability of potential niches using the MaxEnt method and bioclimatic variables for current conditions,2041–2060, and 2061–2080 periods. We used four climate scenarios: SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP485. Theresults confirm our hypotheses that, (i) coniferous species will contract, and deciduous trees will expand theirclimatic niche, (ii) a significant part of the areas where the studied species currently occur will be outside theirclimatic optimum in the coming decades, (iii) changes in the climatic optimum distribution will be greater in the2041–2060 period than in 2061–2080. These predicted shifts are relevant for evidence-based management insites already occupied by the studied alien trees. Our results are also relevant to the development of preventionand early detection measures in areas predicted to become climatically suitable for the studied species.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—
Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
40102 - Forestry
Result continuities
Project
Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2023
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
ISSN
0168-1923
e-ISSN
1873-2240
Volume of the periodical
341
Issue of the periodical within the volume
15 October
Country of publishing house
NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS
Number of pages
15
Pages from-to
109650
UT code for WoS article
001054782800001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85150785069