Assessing habitat suitability for selected woody range-expanding plant species in African mountains under climate change

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F23%3A00576797" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/23:00576797 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/0035919X.2023.2205368" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1080/0035919X.2023.2205368</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0035919X.2023.2205368" target="_blank" >10.1080/0035919X.2023.2205368</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Assessing habitat suitability for selected woody range-expanding plant species in African mountains under climate change

Original language description

Social-ecological systems in mountains are sensitive to the effects of climate change and are beingaffected at rates faster than other terrestrial habitats. We need to know which species are likely to be“winners” and which are likely to be “losers” in the context of climate change. This study evaluated the current and predicted future habitat suitability of selected range-expanding woody plant species(Acacia dealbata, Leucosidea sericea, Vernonanthura phosphorica) in African mountains under climate change. These species are representative of range-expanding plants, which have the potential to affect ecosystem services. Future average temperature is projected to decline in African mountains whereas global mean temperatures are projected to increase. Climate-change models may not be capturing dynamics in the climate of African mountains, possibly due to a lack of representative climate dataused in calibrating these models. Although only climate variables were assessed, potential species distribution results were considered accurate according to model evaluation metrics, and some static factors thought to influence species distribution were strongly coupled to climate. Vernonanthura phosphorica and A. dealbata are likely to spread under climate change. The extent of habitat suitable for L. sericea is predicted to decline under climate change. An improved understanding of climate change in mountain systems through better representation of mountain climates in climate-change models could enhance the accuracy of species distribution models.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_SC - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10618 - Ecology

Project

<a href="/en/project/EF18_053%2F0017850" target="_blank" >EF18_053/0017850: Mobility 2020</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Royal Society of South Africa. Transactions

ISSN

0035-919X

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

78

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1-2

Country of publishing house

GB - UNITED KINGDOM

Number of pages

15

Pages from-to

87-101

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85159626698