Horizon scanning of potential invasive alien plant species and their distribution in Norway under a changing climate
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F25%3A00643257" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/25:00643257 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604" target="_blank" >10.1002/ecog.07604</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Horizon scanning of potential invasive alien plant species and their distribution in Norway under a changing climate
Original language description
Invasive alien plants cause major ecological, economic, and social impacts, and their numbers will likely rise with globalisation and climate change. Preventing their introduction is the most cost-effective way to protect Norway’s ecosystems. We developed a new horizon-scanning method to identify high-risk alien plant species not yet present in Norway but likely to become invasive. Starting with 16 866 naturalised species worldwide, we assessed their climate match with Norway and used impact data to refine the list. Species distribution models predicted potential ranges under current and future (2060–2080) climates. We identified 265 high-risk species, currently limited to southeastern and coastal Norway but expanding northwards and inland under future conditions. Invasion hotspots were near urban areas such as Oslo, already highly invaded globally. We recommend strict monitoring or import restrictions of these species and present a broadly applicable horizon-scanning method focused on climate matching.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10618 - Ecology
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GX19-28807X" target="_blank" >GX19-28807X: Macroecology of plant invasions: global synthesis across habitats (SynHab)</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Ecography
ISSN
0906-7590
e-ISSN
1600-0587
Volume of the periodical
2025
Issue of the periodical within the volume
8
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
15
Pages from-to
e07604
UT code for WoS article
001471666400001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105003243690