Time-series Analysis and Modelling to Predict Aviation Safety Performance Index

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21260%2F17%3A00313956" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21260/17:00313956 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://transportproblems.polsl.pl/pl/Archiwum/2017/zeszyt3/2017t12z3_05.pdf" target="_blank" >http://transportproblems.polsl.pl/pl/Archiwum/2017/zeszyt3/2017t12z3_05.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.20858/tp.2017.12.3.5" target="_blank" >10.20858/tp.2017.12.3.5</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Time-series Analysis and Modelling to Predict Aviation Safety Performance Index

Original language description

Safety performance index is a tool with potential to grasp intangible domain of aviation safety, based upon quantification of meaningful aviation safety system properties. The tool itself was developed in form of Aerospace Performance Factor and is already available for the aviation industry. However, the tool turned to be rather unsuccessful as its potential was not fully recognised by the industry. This paper introduces performed analysis on the potential and it outlines new features, utilizing time-series analysis, which can improve both the recognition of the index by the industry as well as the motivations to further research and develop methodologies to evaluate overall aviation safety performance using its quantified system properties. This paper discusses not only the features but also their embedding into the existing approach to the development of aviation safety, highlighting possible deficiencies to overcome and relating the scientific work already performed in the domain. Various types of appropriate time-series methodologies are addressed and key specifications of their use with respect to the discussed issue concerning safety performance index are stated.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_SC - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

21100 - Other engineering and technologies

Project

—

Continuities

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Publication year

2017

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Problemy Transportu - Transport Problems

ISSN

1896-0596

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

12

Issue of the periodical within the volume

3

Country of publishing house

PL - POLAND

Number of pages

8

Pages from-to

51-58

UT code for WoS article

000418918200005

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85032009776