Stochastic epidemic models based on human demog- raphy
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21340%2F15%3A00236284" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21340/15:00236284 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Stochastic epidemic models based on human demog- raphy
Original language description
Mathematical models of a spread of an epidemic are nowadays very important topic thanks to the epidemic of Ebola in 2014. If the spread of a disease is known, precautions can be made and optimal vaccination strategy can be found. First, basic SIR model will be presented. Next, more realistic models describing demographical evolution using Austin-Brewer model are proposed. First hitting time problem for an epidemic outbreak and problem of optimal vaccination are formulated and solved numerically. Finally, regression analysis is carried out on the subjectively best model to examine the dependence between first epidemic hitting time and the parameters. Based on the above analyses, the model seems to be a good candidate for describing real epidemic.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
D - Article in proceedings
CEP classification
FN - Epidemiology, infection diseases and clinical immunology
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2015
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Article name in the collection
SPMS 2015 - Stochastic and Physical Monitoring Systems - Proceedings
ISBN
978-80-01-05841-1
ISSN
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e-ISSN
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Number of pages
8
Pages from-to
89-96
Publisher name
ČVUT
Place of publication
Praha
Event location
Drhleny
Event date
Jun 22, 2015
Type of event by nationality
EUR - Evropská akce
UT code for WoS article
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