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Statistical model of traffic flow at an unsignalized intersection and its use for capacity estimation

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21340%2F24%3A00379559" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21340/24:00379559 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Statistical model of traffic flow at an unsignalized intersection and its use for capacity estimation

  • Original language description

    We present a probabilistic model of traffic flow at an uncontrolled intersection of the T-type and its possible use for evaluation of intersection capacity. The statistical method used is based on the generally accepted practice formulated by Werner Siegloch (1973), in which an estimation of capacity is influenced by the so-called gap acceptance rule, when the driver of a minor road vehicle accepts/rejects a gap (time clearance) between two successive main-road vehicles for his/her inclusion maneuver. In this contribution, such a stochastic scheme is reformatted strictly into a language of random variables. This makes it possible to validate/reject older approaches by which various authors have estimated the probabilities for gap acceptance and other related statistical characteristics, including a capacity itself. The performed analysis convincingly shows that some traditional regression techniques used in practical applications of the Siegloch’s method can fatally fail. Instead, the authors propose a verified methodology based on the application of modern regression methods. The contribution of the new methodology lies in a fundamental refinement of capacity estimates, which is finally demonstrated by applying it to recent empirical data sets.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    O - Miscellaneous

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10103 - Statistics and probability

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2024

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů