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Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Optimization of Road Tunnels

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21610%2F06%3A07126534" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21610/06:07126534 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Optimization of Road Tunnels

  • Original language description

    Probabilistic methods of risk optimization are applied to identify the most effective arrangements of road tunnels. The total consequences of alternative tunnel arrangements are assessed using Bayesian networks supplemented by decision and utility nodes.It is shown that the probabilistic optimization based on the comparison of societal and economic consequences may provide valuable information enabling a rational decision concerning effective safety measures of road tunnels. A general procedure is illustrated by the optimization of a number of escape routes. It appears, however, that the discount rate and specified life time of a tunnel affect the total consequences and the optimum arrangements of the tunnels more significantly than the number of escape routes. Further investigation of relevant input data including societal and economic consequences of various hazard scenarios is needed.

  • Czech name

    Pravděpodobnostní odhad a optimalizace rizik silničních tunelů

  • Czech description

    Pravděpodobnostní modely a optimalizace rizik se využívají pro stanovení nejvhodnějšího uspořádání silničních tunelů. Celkové následky alternativních uspořádání se hodnotí s využitím Bayesovských sítí. Obecná metodika se ilustruje na příkladu optimalizace počtu únikových cest.

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    JN - Civil engineering

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA103%2F06%2F1521" target="_blank" >GA103/06/1521: Reliability and risk assessment of structures in extreme conditions</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2006

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    Safety and Reliabilty for Managing Risk (ESREL 2006)

  • ISBN

    0-415-41620-5

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    7

  • Pages from-to

    2065-2071

  • Publisher name

    Taylor & Francis/Balkema

  • Place of publication

    Leiden

  • Event location

    Estoril

  • Event date

    Sep 18, 2006

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article