Neglect of Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Can Significantly Overestimate Structural Reliability

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21610%2F15%3A00301803" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21610/15:00301803 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/tvsb-2015-0022" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/tvsb-2015-0022</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/tvsb-2015-0022" target="_blank" >10.1515/tvsb-2015-0022</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Neglect of Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Can Significantly Overestimate Structural Reliability
Original language description
Parameter estimation uncertainty is often neglected in reliability studies, i.e. point estimates of distribution parameters are used for representative fractiles, and in probabilistic models. A numerical example examines the effect of this uncertainty on structural reliability using Bayesian statistics. The study reveals that the neglect of parameter estimation uncertainty might lead to an order of magnitude underestimation of failure probability.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—

Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
JN - Civil engineering
OECD FORD branch
—

Project
<a href="/en/project/LG14012" target="_blank" >LG14012: International co-operation in reliability and risk assessment of structural systems</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2015
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical
Transactions of the VŠB - Technical University of Ostrava, Civil Engineering Series
ISSN
1213-1962
e-ISSN
—
Volume of the periodical
15
Issue of the periodical within the volume
15/2
Country of publishing house
CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC
Number of pages
10
Pages from-to
1-10
UT code for WoS article
—
EID of the result in the Scopus database
—

Similar results(10)