The year-long unprecedented European heat and drought of 1540-a worst case

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F14%3A00496503" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/14:00496503 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/00216224:14310/14:00073833
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1184-2" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1184-2</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1184-2" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10584-014-1184-2</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
The year-long unprecedented European heat and drought of 1540-a worst case
Original language description
The heat waves of 2003 in Western Europe and 2010 in Russia, commonly labelled as rare climatic anomalies outside of previous experience, are often taken as harbingers of more frequent extremes in the global warming-influenced future. However, a recent reconstruction of spring-summer temperatures for WE resulted in the likelihood of significantly higher temperatures in 1540. In order to check the plausibility of this result we investigated the severity of the 1540 drought by putting forward the argument of the known soil desiccation-temperature feedback. Based on more than 300 first-hand documentary weather report sources originating from an area of 2 to 3 million km(2), we show that Europe was affected by an unprecedented 11-month-long Megadrought. The estimated number of precipitation days and precipitation amount for Central and Western Europe in 1540 is significantly lower than the 100-year minima of the instrumental measurement period for spring, summer and autumn. This result is supported by independent documentary evidence about extremely low river flows and Europe-wide wild-, forest- and settlement fires. We found that an event of this severity cannot be simulated by state-of-the-art climate models.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—

Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project
—
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year
2014
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Similar results(10)