Urban Cycles and Long-Term Population Trends in a Southern European City: A Demographic Outlook

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F19%3A00520252" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/19:00520252 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12061-019-09328-0" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12061-019-09328-0</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12061-019-09328-0" target="_blank" >10.1007/s12061-019-09328-0</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Urban Cycles and Long-Term Population Trends in a Southern European City: A Demographic Outlook

Original language description

Metropolitan regions in Europe experienced intense demographic change from accelerated population expansion sustained by high fertility and immigration to zero (or negative) growth and aging. Such transformations are particularly complex in Southern Europe and lead to a shift from the impressive urban growth driven by industrialization to a more recent de-concentration of inner cities and scattered metropolitan expansion. Based on long-term population data, the present study assumes that urban expansion and demographic trends in Southern Europe no longer follow sequential phases of growth and decline, being characterized by non-linear urban expansion and distinctive demographic trends. Such hypothesis was tested considering a complete urban cycle and the associated population trends over a sufficiently long time interval (1848-2011) in metropolitan Athens, Greece. Population increase was assessed through the analysis of long-term census data made available on a district scale. Such analysis provided information on the spatial distribution of resident population and allowed identification of multiple expansion waves only partly aligned with predictions of the urban cycle model. The complex interplay between long-term fertility-mortality dynamics and short-term migration trends in Athens justifies deviations from model's predictions. A long-term analysis of population trends at local scale contributes to re-contextualize urban cycles within the (more general) debate on demographic transitions, evidencing together the multi-scalar influence of population dynamics on metropolitan expansion and the importance of a historical analysis of population growth from the beginning of the modern urban experience.

Czech name

—

Czech description

—

Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project

<a href="/en/project/LO1415" target="_blank" >LO1415: CzechGlobe 2020 – Development of the Centre of Global Climate Change Impacts Studies</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2019

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy

ISSN

1874-463X

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

2019

Issue of the periodical within the volume

DEC 2019

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

27

Pages from-to

—

UT code for WoS article

000504588900001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85077367311