Revisiting the ´City Life Cycle´: Global Urbanization and Implications for Regional Development
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F20%3A00541405" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/20:00541405 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12031151" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12031151</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12031151" target="_blank" >10.3390/su12031151</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Revisiting the ´City Life Cycle´: Global Urbanization and Implications for Regional Development
Original language description
A comparative, diachronic analysis of urban population dynamics allows for the identification of specific demographic trajectories influencing metropolitan expansion worldwide. However, a wide-ranging characterization of long-term population trends in metropolitan areas identifying sequential urban cycles with distinctive demographic dynamics is still incomplete. By hypothesizing a trade-off between 'fast' and 'slow' population dynamics that reflect 'high' and 'low' fertility regimes in both advanced and emerging economies, the present work investigates the relationship between city size (considering absolute population) and population growth rate in 1857 metropolitan agglomerations (>300,000 inhabitants in 2014) of 154 countries across the globe. Analysis covers a relatively long time period (1950-2030) and uses descriptive statistics (average and coefficient of variation) of the spatial series of population growth rates derived from United Nations demographics by metropolitan agglomeration and time interval. The results of our study indicate that metropolitan growth was associated with highly variable rates of population growth, being highly positive before 2000 and declining progressively in the subsequent decades. Despite important differences at the regional scale, an inverse relationship between population growth and city size was observed up to the late 1990s, with a higher spatial heterogeneity reflecting a moderate slowdown in demographic dynamics during recent years. Rapid population expansion dependent on city size and a higher spatial heterogeneity in growth rates insensitive to city size, evidence distinct metropolitan cycles reflecting worldwide transition from high to low fertility, ageing, and more unpredictable migration patterns.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50402 - Demography
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2020
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Sustainability
ISSN
2071-1050
e-ISSN
2071-1050
Volume of the periodical
12
Issue of the periodical within the volume
3
Country of publishing house
CH - SWITZERLAND
Number of pages
18
Pages from-to
1151
UT code for WoS article
000524899602038
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85081199022