Demographic Dynamics, Urban Cycles and Economic Downturns: A Long-term Investigation of a Metropolitan Region in Europe, 1956–2016

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F20%3A00523430" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/20:00523430 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11113-019-09550-1" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11113-019-09550-1</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11113-019-09550-1" target="_blank" >10.1007/s11113-019-09550-1</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Demographic Dynamics, Urban Cycles and Economic Downturns: A Long-term Investigation of a Metropolitan Region in Europe, 1956–2016

Original language description

Economic downturns have influenced population dynamics, fuelling social inequalities and income divides across countries and regions. At the same time, urban cycles affected demographic patterns and processes at the very local scale. However, the synergic contribution of urban cycles and economic downturns to population dynamics was less investigated in advanced economies. The present study proposes a spatially explicit analysis of birth, marriage and death rates during a complete urban cycle (1956–2016) with sequential economic expansions and recessions in a European metropolitan region (Athens, Greece). With compact urbanization (late 1950s–late 1970s), fertility was higher in central districts, the reverse pattern was observed during suburbanization (early 1980s–early 2000s). Marriage and death rates, respectively, decreased and increased in a spatially heterogeneous fashion under economic expansions and recessions. Spatial dependency of demographic indicators decreased over time, evidencing more heterogeneous trends during suburbanization. Less clustered population dynamics and a reduced importance of spatial effects were observed in the most recent years coinciding with re-urbanization and economic recession. Results of a canonical correlation analysis demonstrate the importance of local contexts in demographic processes, indicating that urban–rural polarizations have progressively shifted toward more latent spatial trends, e.g. consolidating the divide in wealthier and disadvantaged districts. These findings suggest that population dynamics in Athens were influenced by multiple socioeconomic forces interacting at different geographical scales and reflecting a complex economic-urban cycle. Our study contributes to the debate over present and future development of European cities and justifies the use of a diachronic analysis of demographic dynamics in metropolitan systems.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50402 - Demography

Project

<a href="/en/project/LO1415" target="_blank" >LO1415: CzechGlobe 2020 – Development of the Centre of Global Climate Change Impacts Studies</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2020

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Population Research and Policy Review

ISSN

0167-5923

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

39

Issue of the periodical within the volume

3

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

27

Pages from-to

549-575

UT code for WoS article

000540137800007

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85073771470