Demographic Resilience in Local Systems: An Empirical Approach with Census Data

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F20%3A00534777" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/20:00534777 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/8/3/34" target="_blank" >https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/8/3/34</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/systems8030034" target="_blank" >10.3390/systems8030034</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Demographic Resilience in Local Systems: An Empirical Approach with Census Data

Original language description

This study estimates demographic resilience in local socioeconomic systems of Southern Europe using long-term population dynamics. We assume attractive places with a continuously expanding (resident) population as 'demographically resilient', and locations experiencing a persistent decline of population as more fragile to external shocks. Based on these premises, a comprehensive assessment of demographic resilience in more than 1000 municipalities along the urban-rural gradient in Greece, a Mediterranean country with marked regional disparities, was carried out between 1961 and 2011. Municipalities were considered representative of homogeneous local communities, especially in rural areas. The results of non-parametric correlations suggest how basic geographical gradients (coastal-inland and urban-rural) have significantly influenced the demographic resilience of Greek municipalities. These findings outline two contrasting spatial patterns that reflect (i) continuous expansion of peri-urban local communities and (ii) a particularly intense rural shrinkage, linking depopulation to land abandonment and scarce accessibility of inland districts. While long-term population growth in Greece has progressively re-shaped the intrinsic divide in urban and rural areas, the traditional gap in central and peripheral districts is still reflected in the spatial polarization between the 'demographically resilient', socially dynamic coastal locations and the 'demographically fragile' inland, economically marginal places. These results indicate the persistence of a center-periphery model characterizing long-term settlement expansion in Greece, with spatial patterns delineating 'resilient' and 'fragile' districts based essentially on infrastructures, accessibility, and amenities.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50704 - Environmental sciences (social aspects)

Project

—

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2020

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

SYSTEMS

ISSN

2079-8954

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

8

Issue of the periodical within the volume

3

Country of publishing house

CH - SWITZERLAND

Number of pages

17

Pages from-to

34

UT code for WoS article

000578886800001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85091250235