Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F22%3A00556194" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/22:00556194 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/60460709:41320/22:92920
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-022-03107-3.pdf?origin=ppub" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-022-03107-3.pdf?origin=ppub</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3" target="_blank" >10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests
Original language description
The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from20% to more than50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21(st) century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10510 - Climatic research

Project
<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year
2022
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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