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No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F22%3A00569995" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/22:00569995 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00216224:14310/22:00128931

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.1073/pnas.2209816119" target="_blank" >https://www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.1073/pnas.2209816119</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2209816119" target="_blank" >10.1073/pnas.2209816119</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe

  • Original language description

    Caused by Yersinia pestis, plague ravaged the world through three known pandemics: the First or the Justinianic (6th–8th century), the Second (beginning with the Black Death during c.1338–1353 and lasting until the 19th century), and the Third (which became global in 1894). It is debatable whether Y. pestis persisted in European wildlife reservoirs or was repeatedly introduced from outside Europe (as covered by European Union and the British Isles). Here, we analyze environmental data (soil characteristics and climate) from active Chinese plague reservoirs to assess whether such environmental conditions in Europe had ever supported “natural plague reservoirs”. We have used new statistical methods which are validated through predicting the presence of modern plague reservoirs in the western United States. We find no support for persistent natural plague reservoirs in either historical or modern Europe. Two factors make Europe unfavorable for long-term plague reservoirs: 1) Soil texture and biochemistry and 2) low rodent diversity. By comparing rodent communities in Europe with those in China and the United States, we conclude that a lack of suitable host species might be the main reason for the absence of plague reservoirs in Europe today. These findings support the hypothesis that long-term plague reservoirs did not exist in Europe and therefore question the importance of wildlife rodent species as the primary plague hosts in Europe.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    30303 - Infectious Diseases

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2022

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

  • ISSN

    0027-8424

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    119

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    51

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    e2209816119

  • UT code for WoS article

    000944703500010

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85143993362