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Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F24%3A00585856" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/24:00585856 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00216224:14310/24:00136024

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/4/405" target="_blank" >https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/4/405</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040405" target="_blank" >10.3390/atmos15040405</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Is Recent Warming Exceeding the Range of the Past 125,000 Years?

  • Original language description

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that the latest decade was warmer than any multi-century period over the past 125,000 years. This statement rests on a comparison of modern instrumental measurements against the course of past temperatures reconstructed from natural proxy archives, such as lake and marine sediments, and peat bogs. Here, we evaluate this comparison with a focus on the hundreds of proxy records developed by paleoclimatologists across the globe to reconstruct climate variability over the Holocene (12,000 years) and preceded by the Last Glacial Period (125,000 years). Although the existing proxy data provide a unique opportunity to reconstruct low-frequency climate variability on centennial timescales, they lack temporal resolution and dating precision for contextualizing the most recent temperature extremes. While the IPCC's conclusion on the uniqueness of latest-decade warming is thus not supported by comparison with these smoothed paleotemperatures, it is still likely correct as ice core-derived forcing timeseries show that greenhouse gases were not elevated during any pre-instrumental period of the Holocene.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA23-08049S" target="_blank" >GA23-08049S: Central European HYDRoclimate from Oak stable isotopes over the past 8000 years – HYDRO8</a><br>

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2024

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Atmosphere

  • ISSN

    2073-4433

  • e-ISSN

    2073-4433

  • Volume of the periodical

    15

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    4

  • Country of publishing house

    CH - SWITZERLAND

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    405

  • UT code for WoS article

    001211355200001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85191740704