Contrasting Future Growth of Norway Spruce and Scots Pine Forests Under Warming Climate
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F24%3A00602739" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/24:00602739 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.17580" target="_blank" >https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.17580</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17580" target="_blank" >10.1111/gcb.17580</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Contrasting Future Growth of Norway Spruce and Scots Pine Forests Under Warming Climate
Original language description
Forests are essential to climate change mitigation through carbon sequestration, transpiration, and turnover. However, the quantification of climate change impacts on forest growth is uncertain and even contradictory in some regions, which is the result of spatially constrained studies. Here, we use an unprecedented network of 1.5 million tree growth records from 493 Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris stands across Europe to predict species-specific tree growth variability from 1950 to 2016 (R-2 > 0.82) and develop 21st-century gridded projections considering different climate change scenarios. The approach demonstrates overall positive effects of warming temperatures leading to 25% projected conifer growth increases under the SPP370 scenario, but these additional carbon gains are spatially inhomogeneous and associated with geographic climate gradients. Maximum gains are projected for pines in Scandinavia, where growth trajectories indicate 50% increases by 2071-2100. Smaller but significant growth reductions are projected in Mediterranean Europe, where conifer growth shrinks by 25% in response to warmer temperatures. Our results reveal potential mitigating effects via forest carbon sequestration increases in response to global warming and stress the importance of effective forest management.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—
Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10619 - Biodiversity conservation
Result continuities
Project
—
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Global Change Biology
ISSN
1354-1013
e-ISSN
1365-2486
Volume of the periodical
30
Issue of the periodical within the volume
11
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
13
Pages from-to
e17580
UT code for WoS article
001369524600001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85209856508