Value archetypes in future scenarios: the role of scenario co-designers
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F25%3A00637993" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/25:00637993 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://ecologyandsociety.org/vol30/iss3/art4/" target="_blank" >https://ecologyandsociety.org/vol30/iss3/art4/</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-15884-300304" target="_blank" >10.5751/ES-15884-300304</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Value archetypes in future scenarios: the role of scenario co-designers
Original language description
The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) relies on future scenarios in its assessments of global social-ecological systems. Scenarios explicitly or implicitly embed normative positions (e.g., values for nature, nature’s contributions to people, good quality of life). Such scenario values shape how scenario narratives evolve, e.g. throughn driving forces, framings, or ways how decisions are legitimized within a given scenario. Initial research in futures studies has examinedhow scenario values depend on whose voices are included in scenario co-design. However, less attention has been paid so far to explicitlyn assessing the extent to which scenario values are associated with different types of scenario co-designers. Our paper expands this knowledge with a set of novel analyses building on the comprehensive review of scenarios in the IPBES values assessment. To this end,n we conducted a formal archetype analysis of 257 scenarios assessed in the IPBES values assessment to identify re-appearing archetypal configurations of values and their link to the actors involved as scenario co-designers. The results show that scenarios valuing nature for itself and its benefits to societal well-being were co-designed by experts and academics less frequently than expected under the assumption of stochastic independence, on the contrary, such scenarios were co-designed more frequently than expected by governmental and community actors. The paper illustrates how archetype analysis can contribute to the validation and furthern development of scientific knowledge feeding into science-policy assessments. The findings are important to acknowledge how scenarios express and possibly re-enforce peoples’ normative positions, and what role values might play when scenarios get translated into realnworld decisions and actions.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EH22_008%2F0004635" target="_blank" >EH22_008/0004635: AdAgriF - Advanced methods of greenhouse gases emission reduction and sequestration in agriculture and forest landscape for climate change mitigation</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Ecology and Society
ISSN
1708-3087
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
30
Issue of the periodical within the volume
2
Country of publishing house
CA - CANADA
Number of pages
15
Pages from-to
4
UT code for WoS article
001530543400002
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105011177690