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Emerging off-season heat waves in Europe

Public support

  • Provider

    Czech Science Foundation

  • Programme

    Standard projects

  • Call for proposals

    SGA0202600001

  • Main participants

    Ústav fyziky atmosféry AV ČR, v. v. i.

  • Contest type

    VS - Public tender

  • Contract ID

    26-22280S

Alternative language

  • Project name in Czech

    Emerging off-season heat waves in Europe

  • Annotation in Czech

    The project is motivated by recent occurrences of heat waves far outside their usual season, such as the 2024 early April heat wave in Central Europe. We propose to explore a novel concept of off-season heat waves defined based on two principal criteria: i) temperatures exceed thresholds for a summertime heat wave for several consecutive days and ii) the event falls outside the usual heat wave season. By analysing observed datasets and the ERA5 reanalysis, we will advance understanding of spatiotemporal characteristics of off-season heat waves across Europe, including their vertical structures and mechanisms of their onset, persistence, and termination. In the next step, we will evaluate off-season heat waves in regional climate model simulations to identify models’ abilities to reproduce such events. Because climate change adaptation strategies lack information on future off-season heat waves, we will subsequently combine probabilistic and event-based storylines approaches to deliver comprehensible scenarios of these events for near future and the end of the 21st century.

Scientific branches

  • R&D category

    ZV - Basic research

  • OECD FORD - main branch

    10510 - Climatic research

  • OECD FORD - secondary branch

  • OECD FORD - another secondary branch

  • CEP - equivalent branches <br>(according to the <a href="http://www.vyzkum.cz/storage/att/E6EF7938F0E854BAE520AC119FB22E8D/Prevodnik_oboru_Frascati.pdf">converter</a>)

    DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

Solution timeline

  • Realization period - beginning

    Jan 1, 2026

  • Realization period - end

    Dec 31, 2028

  • Project status

    Z - Beginning multi-year project

  • Latest support payment

Data delivery to CEP

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

  • Data delivery code

    CEP26-GA0-GA-R

  • Data delivery date

    May 7, 2026

Finance

  • Total approved costs

    10,276 thou. CZK

  • Public financial support

    10,276 thou. CZK

  • Other public sources

    0 thou. CZK

  • Non public and foreign sources

    0 thou. CZK