Vaccination and fertility: modelling the potential impact of Covid-19 vaccination on total fertility rate in Czechia

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F24%3A10488437" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/24:10488437 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=XK_0cXANMT" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=XK_0cXANMT</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-024-00236-x" target="_blank" >10.1186/s41118-024-00236-x</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Vaccination and fertility: modelling the potential impact of Covid-19 vaccination on total fertility rate in Czechia

Original language description

As with Northern European countries, Czechia experienced unexpected fertility developments during the Covid-19 pandemic. Fertility in Czechia increased between 2020 and 2021 from 1.76 children per woman to 1.83. However, between 2021 and 2022, fertility fell significantly to just 1.62 children per woman. The main change that occurred between 2020 and 2021, which is thought to have affected fertility one year later, comprised vaccination against Covid-19. This vaccination of the adult population was very specific in terms of both its scope and the timing of vaccination for each age group as organised by the state. The mass scale of the vaccination campaign and its implementation within a very short period of time were unprecedented. However, along with the significant degree of uncertainty concerning the appropriateness of vaccination for pregnant women, vaccination was seen as a factor that potentially acted to significantly change women&apos;s reproductive plans in the short term and, as a consequence, potentially exerted a significant short-term impact on both birth rates and fertility indicators. This study models the maximum potential impact of vaccination on fertility levels under the assumption that all the vaccinated women chose to avoid conception in the month in which they were vaccinated. Applying the indirect standardisation principle, we calculated the expected monthly live births after excluding women who were vaccinated nine months earlier. The comparison of hypothetical and observed fertility revealed that the perceived potential impact of vaccination was largely consistent with the observed fertility decline in Czechia between 2021 and 2022.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50402 - Demography

Project

<a href="/en/project/LX22NPO5101" target="_blank" >LX22NPO5101: The National Institute for Research on the Socioeconomic Impact of Diseases and Systemic Risks</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2024

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Genus

ISSN

0016-6987

e-ISSN

2035-5556

Volume of the periodical

80

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1

Country of publishing house

IT - ITALY

Number of pages

19

Pages from-to

25

UT code for WoS article

001370234200001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85211184990