Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F47813059%3A19520%2F13%3A%230002293" target="_blank" >RIV/47813059:19520/13:#0002293 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://wydawnictwo.zut.edu.pl/wydawnictwo/czasopisma/czasopisma-naukowe/folia-pomeranae-universitatis-technologiae-stetinensis-fputs/oeconomica-issn-2081-0644-e-issn-2300-5386/305-73-2013.html" target="_blank" >http://wydawnictwo.zut.edu.pl/wydawnictwo/czasopisma/czasopisma-naukowe/folia-pomeranae-universitatis-technologiae-stetinensis-fputs/oeconomica-issn-2081-0644-e-issn-2300-5386/305-73-2013.html</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Estimation of the J-Curve Effect in Bilateral Trade of Poland
Original language description
The aim of the paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate changes on bilateral export and import flows between Poland and its major trading partners. This paper explores a J-curve phenomenon using quarterly data over the period 1997 - 2011. We employ a Johansen cointegration test to analyze the long run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance. Short term effects and the related J-curve effect are explored by estimating an error correction model and by assessing impulse-response functions. We include bilateral export and import flows, GDP and nominal bilateral exchange rates into models. The results suggest that a depreciation of the Polish złoty is accompanied by deterioration of the Poland's trade balance with France and Italy. Partial J-curve effect can be observed in case of Poland's trading flows with Germany and Czech Republic. By contrast, we reveal an inverse J-curve in international trade with the United Kingdom.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
AH - Economics
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2013
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Folia Pomeranae Universitatis Technologiae Stetinensis: Oeconomica
ISSN
2081-0644
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
305
Issue of the periodical within the volume
73
Country of publishing house
PL - POLAND
Number of pages
9
Pages from-to
189-197
UT code for WoS article
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EID of the result in the Scopus database
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