Alternative futures for global biological invasions

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F21%3A89567" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/21:89567 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6" target="_blank" >10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Alternative futures for global biological invasions
Original language description
Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, currently existing global scenarios (narratives of how the world may develop) have neglected biological invasions, a major threat to biodiversity and the economy. Here, we use a novel participatory process to develop a diverse set of global biological invasion scenarios spanning a wide range of plausible global futures through to 2050. We adapted the widely used two axes scenario analysis approach to develop four families of four scenarios each, resulting in 16 scenarios that were later clustered into four contrasting sets of futures. Our analysis highlights that socioeconomic developments and technological innovation have the potential to shape biological invasions, in addition to well-known drivers, such as climate and human land use change and global trade. Our scenarios partially align with the shared socioeconomic pathways created by the climate change research community. S
Czech name
—
Czech description
—

Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project
<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000803" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000803: Advanced research supporting the forestry and wood-processing sector´s adaptation to global change and the 4th industrial revolution</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2021
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Similar results(10)