Climate-driven Mediterranean fire hazard assessments for 2020-2100 on the light of past millennial variability
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F22%3A92919" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/22:92919 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-021-03258-y" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-021-03258-y</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03258-y" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10584-021-03258-y</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Climate-driven Mediterranean fire hazard assessments for 2020-2100 on the light of past millennial variability
Original language description
In the Mediterranean basin, Corsica (French island) harbours among the best-preserved Mediterranean forest ecosystems. However, its high biodiversity could be threatened by the climate and disturbance-regime changes due to the global warming. This study aims (i) to estimate the future climate-related fire hazard in Corsica for the current century (2020-2100) based on two RCP scenarios (RCP4,5 and RCP8,5) and (ii) to compare the predicted trends with the entire Holocene period for which fire hazard has previously been assessed. An ensemble of future climate simulations from two IPCC RCP scenarios has been used to compute the Monthly Drought Code (MDC) and the Fire Season Length (FSL) and to assess the level of fire hazard. Here, we show that the MDC and the FSL would both strongly increase over the next decades due to the combined effect of temperature increase and precipitation decrease in the Corsica region. Moreover, the maximum Holocene FLS (7000 to 9000 years ago) will be reached (and even exceed
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2022
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN
0165-0009
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
170
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1-2
Country of publishing house
CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC
Number of pages
18
Pages from-to
1-18
UT code for WoS article
000749219200001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85123485426