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Predicting the distribution of European Hop Hornbeam: application of MaxEnt algorithm and climatic suitability models

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F23%3A97246" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/23:97246 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Predicting the distribution of European Hop Hornbeam: application of MaxEnt algorithm and climatic suitability models

  • Original language description

    Ostrya carpinifolia Scop. (European Hop Hornbeam) is a native tree in Europe as a species of the Betulaceae family. European Hop Hornbeam has a significant value for the European flora, and assessing the effects of climate change on habitats of species is essential for its sustainability. With this point of view, the main aim of the research was to predict the present and future potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam across Europe. ''IPSL-CM6A-LR'' climate change model, ninety-six occurrence data, and seven bioclimatic variables were used to predict potential distribution areas with MaxEnt 3.4.1 program. This study applied a change analysis by comparing the present predicted potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam with the future predicted potential distribution under the 2041-2060 and 2081-2100 SSP2 4.5 and SSP5 8.5 climate change scenarios. Study results indicated that the sum of suitable and highly suitable areas of European Hop Hornbeam is calculated to be 1,136,706 km(2) for the current potential distribution. On the contrary, 2,107,187 km(2) of highly suitable and suitable areas will be diminished in the worst case by 2100. The most affected bioclimatic variable is BIO 19 (Precipitation of Coldest Quarter), considering the prediction of the species distribution. These findings indicated that the natural ecosystems of the Mediterranean region will shift to northern areas. This study represented a reference for creating a strategy for the protection and conservation of the species in the future.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    40102 - Forestry

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    European Journal of Forest Research

  • ISSN

    1612-4669

  • e-ISSN

    1612-4677

  • Volume of the periodical

    142

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    DE - GERMANY

  • Number of pages

    13

  • Pages from-to

    579-591

  • UT code for WoS article

    000956326200001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85150600720