Measuring the accuracy of quantitative prognostic methods and methods based on technical indicators in the field of tourism.

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27510%2F18%3A10241045" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27510/18:10241045 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://acta.ujs.sk/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/acta-7-evfolyam-1-szam.pdf" target="_blank" >http://acta.ujs.sk/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/acta-7-evfolyam-1-szam.pdf</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Measuring the accuracy of quantitative prognostic methods and methods based on technical indicators in the field of tourism.
Original language description
Forecasts in the business economy play a key role. An economically performing business must have an idea of the future development of its assets. Prediction is based on the use of quantitative and qualitative methods. This paper deals only with the use of quantitative methods, namely Exponential smoothing, ARIMA. In business practice, however, there is often a need for simplicity of prognostic models, which ARIMA models often do not respond to. Therefore, a calculation experiment and the use of simple indicators of technical analysis to predict the occupancy of accommodation facilities in the Czech Republic was made in this appendix. The aim of the paper is to measure the accuracy of these models compared to exponential smoothing and ARIMA based on the ex post forecasting accuracy method.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year
2018
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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