Projections of uncertainties in climate change scenario into expected winter wheat yield

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F04%3A00000189" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/04:00000189 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Projections of uncertainties in climate change scenario into expected winter wheat yield

Original language description

The crop model CERES-Wheat in combination with stochastic weather generator were used to quantify uncertainties in climate change scenarios on crop yields of the most important European cereal crop i.e. winter wheat. Seven experimental sites with high quality experimental data were selected in order to evaluate the selected crop model and also to carry out climate change impact analysis. It was based on multi-year crop model simulations run with daily weather series obtained by stochastic weather generator and applying two emission scenario projections assuming CO2 ambient air concentration 548 ppm (B1) and 826 ppm (A2) by 2100. Seven global circulation models (GCMs) were used to derive individual climate change scenarios. Outputs of the seven GCMs were also averaged in order to derive average scenario (AVG). Time periods 2025, 2050 and 2100 were examined in the study.

Czech name

Dopady nejistot v scénářích změny klimatu na očekávaný výnos pšenice ozimé

Czech description

Pro posouzení nejistot ve scénářích změny klimatu byla provedena impaktová studie pomocí růstového modelu CERES-Wheat v kombinaci se stochastickým generátorem meteorologických dat.

Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

GC - Plant growing, crop rotation

OECD FORD branch

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Project

<a href="/en/project/GA521%2F02%2F0827" target="_blank" >GA521/02/0827: The yield potential of the winter wheat in the Czech Republic - spatial assessment for the present and changed climate</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Publication year

2004

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

ISSN

0177-798X

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

77

Issue of the periodical within the volume

3-4

Country of publishing house

AT - AUSTRIA

Number of pages

21

Pages from-to

229-249

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

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