Projections of uncertainties in climate change scenarios into expected winter wheat yields

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F04%3A00104023" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/04:00104023 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Projections of uncertainties in climate change scenarios into expected winter wheat yields

Original language description

The crop model CERES-wheat in combination with the stochastic weather generator were used to quantify the effect of uncertainties in saelected climate change scenarios on the yields of winter wheat, which is the most important European cereal crop. Sevenexperimental sites with the high quality experimental data were selected in order to evaluate the crop model and to carry out the climate change impact analysis. The analysis was based on the multi-year crop model simulations run with the daily weatherseries prepared by the stochastic weather generator. Seven global circulation models (GCMs) were used to derive the climate change scenarios. In addition, seven GCM-based scenarios were averaged in order to derive the average scenario (AVG). The scenarios were constructed for three time periods (2025, 2050 and 2100) and two SRES emission scenarios (A2 and B1).

Czech name

Projekce nejistot v scénářích změn klimatu do očekávaných výnosů ozimé pšenice

Czech description

Projekce nejistot v scénářích změn klimatu do očekávaných výnosů ozimé pšenice

Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

GC - Plant growing, crop rotation

OECD FORD branch

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Project

<a href="/en/project/GA521%2F02%2F0827" target="_blank" >GA521/02/0827: The yield potential of the winter wheat in the Czech Republic - spatial assessment for the present and changed climate</a><br>

Continuities

Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Publication year

2004

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

ISSN

0177-798X

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

77

Issue of the periodical within the volume

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Country of publishing house

AT - AUSTRIA

Number of pages

21

Pages from-to

229-249

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

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