Generalized Additive Models for Nowcasting Cloud Shading
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F14%3A00424720" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/14:00424720 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.01.005" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.01.005</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.01.005" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.solener.2014.01.005</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Generalized Additive Models for Nowcasting Cloud Shading
Original language description
The response time of a photovoltaic plant is very short and its output power follows the abrupt change in solar irradiance level due to alternate shadow by clouds. Presence of shading may be quantified by a binary variable: sunshine number (SSN). Variouslogistic Markovian models of SSN dynamics are introduced and discussed in this paper, going from simple to more complicated model structures. Radiometric data measured at 15 s lag during 2010 in Timisoara (Romania) are used to illustrate their real-world performance. The models are useful for short term forecasting related e.g. to photovoltaic conversion control, including more complicated events like ramp-like switches between overcast and clear regimes. Importantly, presented models are not black-boxforecasting tools. They contain physically interpretable structure which is advantageous both in developing, checking and improvement of the model itself, but also as a tool for characterizing various systematic properties of cloud shadi
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
BB - Applied statistics, operational research
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/LD12009" target="_blank" >LD12009: Advanced methods for energy production forecasting by photovoltaic systems using high resolution NWP models</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2014
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Solar Energy
ISSN
0038-092X
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
101
Issue of the periodical within the volume
March
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
272-282
UT code for WoS article
000331921800028
EID of the result in the Scopus database
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