Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F24%3A00583513" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/24:00583513 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/60460709:41330/24:100770
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-45901-z" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-45901-z</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
Original language description
Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively: among which 1 in 5 to 1 in 4 heat-related deaths can be attributed to population aging. Despite a projected decrease in cold-related mortality due to progressive warming alone, population aging will mostly counteract this trend, leading to a net increase in cold-related mortality by 0.1%–0.4% at 1.5–3 °C global warming. Our findings indicate that population aging constitutes a crucial driver for future heat- and cold-related deaths, with increasing mortality burden for both heat and cold due to the aging population.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
10510 - Climatic research
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA22-24920S" target="_blank" >GA22-24920S: Links between weather, epidemics and seasonal mortality patterns</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Nature Communications
ISSN
2041-1723
e-ISSN
2041-1723
Volume of the periodical
15
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
15
Pages from-to
1796
UT code for WoS article
001178774300005
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85186221798