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Model projections on the impact of HCV treatment in the prevention of HCV transmission among people who inject drugs in Europe

Identifikátory výsledku

  • Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00023752%3A_____%2F18%3A43919213" target="_blank" >RIV/00023752:_____/18:43919213 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Nalezeny alternativní kódy

    RIV/00216208:11110/18:10370219

  • Výsledek na webu

    <a href="http://www.journal-of-hepatology.eu/article/S0168-8278(17)32387-5/fulltext" target="_blank" >http://www.journal-of-hepatology.eu/article/S0168-8278(17)32387-5/fulltext</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2017.10.010" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.jhep.2017.10.010</a>

Alternativní jazyky

  • Jazyk výsledku

    angličtina

  • Název v původním jazyce

    Model projections on the impact of HCV treatment in the prevention of HCV transmission among people who inject drugs in Europe

  • Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

    BACKGROUND: Prevention of hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission among people who inject drugs (PWID) is critical to eliminating HCV in Europe. We estimate impact of current and scaled-up HCV treatment with and without scaling-up opioid substitution therapy (OST) and needle and syringe programmes (NSP) across Europe over the next 10 years. METHODS: We collected data on PWID HCV treatment rates, PWID prevalence, HCV prevalence, OST and NSP coverage from 11 European settings. We parameterized a HCV transmission model to setting-specific data that projects chronic HCV prevalence and incidence among PWID. RESULTS: At baseline, chronic HCV prevalence varied from &lt;25% (Slovenia/Czech Republic) to &gt;55% (Finland/Sweden), and &lt;2% Amsterdam/Hamburg/Norway/Denmark/Sweden) to 5% (Slovenia/Czech Republic) of chronically infected PWID were treated annually. Current treatment rates using new direct acting antivirals (DAAs) may achieve observable reductions in chronic prevalence (38-63%) in 10 years in Czech Republic, Slovenia and Amsterdam. Doubling HCV-treatment rates will reduce prevalence in other sites (12-24%, Belgium/Denmark/Hamburg/Norway/Scotland) but is unlikely to reduce prevalence in Sweden and Finland. Scaling-up OST and NSP to 80% coverage with current treatment rates using DAAs could achieve observable reductions in HCV prevalence (18-79%) in all sites. Using DAAs, Slovenia and Amsterdam are projected to reduce incidence to 2 per 100pyrs or less in 10 years. Moderate to substantial increases in current treatment rates are required to achieve the same impact elsewhere, from 1.4-3 times (Czech Republic/France), 5-17 times (France/Scotland/Hamburg/Norway/Denmark/Belgium/Sweden), to 200 times (Finland). Scaling-up OST and NSP coverage to 80% in all sites reduces treatment scale-up needed by 20-80%. CONCLUSIONS: Scale-up of HCV treatment and other interventions is needed in most settings to minimise HCV transmission among PWID in Europe. Lay summary Measuring the amount of HCV in the population of people who inject drugs is uncertain. To reduce HCV infection to minimal levels in Europe will require scale-up of both HCV treatment and other interventions that reduce injecting risk (especially opioid substitution treatment and provision of sterile injecting equipment).

  • Název v anglickém jazyce

    Model projections on the impact of HCV treatment in the prevention of HCV transmission among people who inject drugs in Europe

  • Popis výsledku anglicky

    BACKGROUND: Prevention of hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission among people who inject drugs (PWID) is critical to eliminating HCV in Europe. We estimate impact of current and scaled-up HCV treatment with and without scaling-up opioid substitution therapy (OST) and needle and syringe programmes (NSP) across Europe over the next 10 years. METHODS: We collected data on PWID HCV treatment rates, PWID prevalence, HCV prevalence, OST and NSP coverage from 11 European settings. We parameterized a HCV transmission model to setting-specific data that projects chronic HCV prevalence and incidence among PWID. RESULTS: At baseline, chronic HCV prevalence varied from &lt;25% (Slovenia/Czech Republic) to &gt;55% (Finland/Sweden), and &lt;2% Amsterdam/Hamburg/Norway/Denmark/Sweden) to 5% (Slovenia/Czech Republic) of chronically infected PWID were treated annually. Current treatment rates using new direct acting antivirals (DAAs) may achieve observable reductions in chronic prevalence (38-63%) in 10 years in Czech Republic, Slovenia and Amsterdam. Doubling HCV-treatment rates will reduce prevalence in other sites (12-24%, Belgium/Denmark/Hamburg/Norway/Scotland) but is unlikely to reduce prevalence in Sweden and Finland. Scaling-up OST and NSP to 80% coverage with current treatment rates using DAAs could achieve observable reductions in HCV prevalence (18-79%) in all sites. Using DAAs, Slovenia and Amsterdam are projected to reduce incidence to 2 per 100pyrs or less in 10 years. Moderate to substantial increases in current treatment rates are required to achieve the same impact elsewhere, from 1.4-3 times (Czech Republic/France), 5-17 times (France/Scotland/Hamburg/Norway/Denmark/Belgium/Sweden), to 200 times (Finland). Scaling-up OST and NSP coverage to 80% in all sites reduces treatment scale-up needed by 20-80%. CONCLUSIONS: Scale-up of HCV treatment and other interventions is needed in most settings to minimise HCV transmission among PWID in Europe. Lay summary Measuring the amount of HCV in the population of people who inject drugs is uncertain. To reduce HCV infection to minimal levels in Europe will require scale-up of both HCV treatment and other interventions that reduce injecting risk (especially opioid substitution treatment and provision of sterile injecting equipment).

Klasifikace

  • Druh

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

  • CEP obor

  • OECD FORD obor

    30219 - Gastroenterology and hepatology

Návaznosti výsledku

  • Projekt

    <a href="/cs/project/LO1611" target="_blank" >LO1611: Udržitelnost pro Národní ústav duševního zdraví</a><br>

  • Návaznosti

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Ostatní

  • Rok uplatnění

    2018

  • Kód důvěrnosti údajů

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku

  • Název periodika

    Journal of Hepatology

  • ISSN

    0168-8278

  • e-ISSN

  • Svazek periodika

    68

  • Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

    3

  • Stát vydavatele periodika

    NL - Nizozemsko

  • Počet stran výsledku

    10

  • Strana od-do

    402-411

  • Kód UT WoS článku

    000425279100008

  • EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

    2-s2.0-85040817518