EU Enlargement and Migration: Scenarios of Croatian Accession

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F13%3A10210360" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/13:10210360 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://rjea.ier.ro/sites/rjea.ier.ro/files/articole/RJEA_2013_vol13_no3_sept_art4.pdf" target="_blank" >http://rjea.ier.ro/sites/rjea.ier.ro/files/articole/RJEA_2013_vol13_no3_sept_art4.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

EU Enlargement and Migration: Scenarios of Croatian Accession

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper analyzes possible incidence of pending Croatian EU accession that is to take place on the 1st of July 2013, on the labour migration from Croatia to the European Union. We apply panel data estimators using the data on emigration from 18 EU countries into Germany (which is the EU country with the largest share of ex-Yugoslav and Croatian migrants) in order to construct possible scenarios of Croatian migration to the EU. Three scenarios of migration - pessimistic, realistic and optimistic - aredrawn and the sensitivity of estimated coefficients on migration from Croatia into Germany during next 25 years is further discussed in detail. We conclude that, similarly to hypothetical Turkish accession, Croatian EU accession is not going to cause massive migration inflows.

Název v anglickém jazyce

EU Enlargement and Migration: Scenarios of Croatian Accession

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper analyzes possible incidence of pending Croatian EU accession that is to take place on the 1st of July 2013, on the labour migration from Croatia to the European Union. We apply panel data estimators using the data on emigration from 18 EU countries into Germany (which is the EU country with the largest share of ex-Yugoslav and Croatian migrants) in order to construct possible scenarios of Croatian migration to the EU. Three scenarios of migration - pessimistic, realistic and optimistic - aredrawn and the sensitivity of estimated coefficients on migration from Croatia into Germany during next 25 years is further discussed in detail. We conclude that, similarly to hypothetical Turkish accession, Croatian EU accession is not going to cause massive migration inflows.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2013

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Romanian Journal of European Affairs

ISSN

1582-8271

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

13

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

RO - Rumunsko

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

53-63

Kód UT WoS článku

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EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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