Heat waves over Central Europe in ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model: evaluation and future projections

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F15%3A10296354" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/15:10296354 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/68378289:_____/15:00446674

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://envimet.czechglobe.cz/files/present/akce/SbornikKonference.pdf" target="_blank" >http://envimet.czechglobe.cz/files/present/akce/SbornikKonference.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Heat waves over Central Europe in ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model: evaluation and future projections

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We evaluated a simulation of Central European heat waves and analysed possible changes of their characteristics in the future climate using the ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model with 25 km horizontal grid spacing. Lateral boundary conditions wereprovided by the ARPEGE global climate model, using historical forcing and the SRES A1B scenario. Observed data were taken from the E-OBS gridded data set. Heat waves were evaluated over 1970MINUS SIGN 1999 and changes in their characteristics were assessed for 2020MINUS SIGN 2049. Their definition is based on exceedance of the 90th percentile of summer daily maximum temperature calculated separately for modelled and observed data. ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulates characteristics for the recent climate quitewell, especially the overall severity of heat waves. In contrast, temperature amplitude was considerably overestimated. This model projects an increase in overall heat wave severity by a factor of 2 to 3 in the future climate, primarily d

Název v anglickém jazyce

Heat waves over Central Europe in ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model: evaluation and future projections

Popis výsledku anglicky

We evaluated a simulation of Central European heat waves and analysed possible changes of their characteristics in the future climate using the ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model with 25 km horizontal grid spacing. Lateral boundary conditions wereprovided by the ARPEGE global climate model, using historical forcing and the SRES A1B scenario. Observed data were taken from the E-OBS gridded data set. Heat waves were evaluated over 1970MINUS SIGN 1999 and changes in their characteristics were assessed for 2020MINUS SIGN 2049. Their definition is based on exceedance of the 90th percentile of summer daily maximum temperature calculated separately for modelled and observed data. ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulates characteristics for the recent climate quitewell, especially the overall severity of heat waves. In contrast, temperature amplitude was considerably overestimated. This model projects an increase in overall heat wave severity by a factor of 2 to 3 in the future climate, primarily d

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/7AMB15AR001" target="_blank" >7AMB15AR001: Vlivy změny klimatu na horké vlny a pravděpodobnosti jejich opakování</a><br>

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Global Change: A Complex Challenge Conference Proceedings

ISBN

978-80-87902-10-3

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

4

Strana od-do

14-17

Název nakladatele

Global Change Research Centre AS CR, v.v.i.

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

23. 3. 2015

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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