The future development of elderly care home capacity in South Bohemia

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F16%3A10328927" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/16:10328927 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.kontakt.2016.05.004" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.kontakt.2016.05.004</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.kontakt.2016.05.004" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.kontakt.2016.05.004</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The future development of elderly care home capacity in South Bohemia

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The article explores capacity in elderly care homes in the South Bohemian region. The aim is to map the current state and the potential future capacity up to 2030. The need to ensure there are sufficient elderly care homes is linked to expectations that life expectancy will continue to increase, and that the top-heavy age structure of the population will lead to an increase in the number and proportion of elderly people in the total population. Existing population forecasts indicate that the number of elderly people in South Bohemia will have increased by more than 40% by 2030. Elderly care home capacity is now full and - given the large numbers seeking placement - it is also insufficient. Despite this, the available information suggests there are no plans to increase capacity substantially in the near future. It is thus assumed that the problem regarding elderly institutional care will grow worse in the near future. According to the authors' calculations, if the proportion of elderly people in the population residing in care homes remains at the same level, it will be necessary, depending on the model used, to increase capacity by around 80% by 2030. If not, the number of elderly people per care home vacancy in South Bohemia will rise from the current value of 37 to 53 by 2030, which may cause considerable problems.

Název v anglickém jazyce

The future development of elderly care home capacity in South Bohemia

Popis výsledku anglicky

The article explores capacity in elderly care homes in the South Bohemian region. The aim is to map the current state and the potential future capacity up to 2030. The need to ensure there are sufficient elderly care homes is linked to expectations that life expectancy will continue to increase, and that the top-heavy age structure of the population will lead to an increase in the number and proportion of elderly people in the total population. Existing population forecasts indicate that the number of elderly people in South Bohemia will have increased by more than 40% by 2030. Elderly care home capacity is now full and - given the large numbers seeking placement - it is also insufficient. Despite this, the available information suggests there are no plans to increase capacity substantially in the near future. It is thus assumed that the problem regarding elderly institutional care will grow worse in the near future. According to the authors' calculations, if the proportion of elderly people in the population residing in care homes remains at the same level, it will be necessary, depending on the model used, to increase capacity by around 80% by 2030. If not, the number of elderly people per care home vacancy in South Bohemia will rise from the current value of 37 to 53 by 2030, which may cause considerable problems.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

AO - Sociologie, demografie

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Kontakt

ISSN

1212-4117

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

18

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

9

Strana od-do

"e103"-"e111"

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85006213899