The Population Prospects of Czechia and Slovakia until 2060

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F18%3A10381766" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/18:10381766 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/61449038/13005318q3_219-233.pdf/dbe45dbe-27f3-4170-8d8f-de1de0d61acf?version=1.0" target="_blank" >https://www.czso.cz/documents/10180/61449038/13005318q3_219-233.pdf/dbe45dbe-27f3-4170-8d8f-de1de0d61acf?version=1.0</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The Population Prospects of Czechia and Slovakia until 2060

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The article compares the aggregated estimates and results of two current national population forecasts to the year 2060 that were produced in 2012 for Slovakia and in 2018 for Czechia. It comments in detail on the basic irregularities in the age-sex structure that have formed over the past one hundred years and their expected transformation in the next more than forty years and on the future development of the initial ages ex structure of the population. Special attention is devoted to the demographic ageing process, its probable future development, and its specific features and internal differentiation. The results of both forecasts point to considerable population inertia and age-structures with &apos;a long memory&apos;. Nevertheless, a near quarter century of low fertility, much lower in Slovakia than in Czechia, a less optimistic outlook for future fertility and migration development, and the somewhat higher mortality intensity among the population in Slovakia will very likely lead in the near future to depopulation and accelerated ageing of the population. The different revolutionary paths of the two countries, naturally the demographic ones, contribute to the differences in the pace and parameters of the culmination of the ageing process.

Název v anglickém jazyce

The Population Prospects of Czechia and Slovakia until 2060

Popis výsledku anglicky

The article compares the aggregated estimates and results of two current national population forecasts to the year 2060 that were produced in 2012 for Slovakia and in 2018 for Czechia. It comments in detail on the basic irregularities in the age-sex structure that have formed over the past one hundred years and their expected transformation in the next more than forty years and on the future development of the initial ages ex structure of the population. Special attention is devoted to the demographic ageing process, its probable future development, and its specific features and internal differentiation. The results of both forecasts point to considerable population inertia and age-structures with &apos;a long memory&apos;. Nevertheless, a near quarter century of low fertility, much lower in Slovakia than in Czechia, a less optimistic outlook for future fertility and migration development, and the somewhat higher mortality intensity among the population in Slovakia will very likely lead in the near future to depopulation and accelerated ageing of the population. The different revolutionary paths of the two countries, naturally the demographic ones, contribute to the differences in the pace and parameters of the culmination of the ageing process.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50402 - Demography

Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Demografie

ISSN

0011-8265

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

60

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

15

Strana od-do

219-233

Kód UT WoS článku

000448254700005

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85056578631