Annual cycle of temperature trends in Europe, 1961-2000

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F18%3A10381849" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/18:10381849 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/68378289:_____/18:00492694 RIV/68378289:_____/18:00521365 RIV/86652079:_____/18:00521365

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.08.015" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.08.015</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.08.015" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.08.015</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Annual cycle of temperature trends in Europe, 1961-2000

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Recent global warming has not been ubiquitous: there are seasons, regions, and time periods with negligible or even negative air temperature trends (frequently referred to as warming holes). This paper presents a novel method enabling a proper localization of specific trend events, such as periods of warming holes, of a particularly strong warming, and of rapid transitions of trend amplitudes during the calendar year. The method consists in analyzing trends for periods of a given length (10 to 90 days) that are sliding over the year with a one day step. The analysis is conducted for daily maximum and minimum temperature at 135 stations in Europe in 1961-2000. Despite an overall warming in Europe, several warming holes are uncovered during various parts of the year, not only in autumn when a warming hole has already been reported. The main warming hole in autumn concentrates in Eastern Europe and three shorter warming holes are detected: In February and March, cooling occurs in the Eastern Mediterranean and Iceland, while in early April, cooling is detected over Central, Southern, and Southeastern Europe. Another large-scale cooling occurs in Central, Northern, and Northwestern Europe in mid-June. The periods of strongest warming occur around the middle of January in Eastern Europe, in early March over almost entire Europe, and in mid-May and early August mainly over Central and Western Europe. Cluster analysis of stations with respect to the annual cycles of trends demonstrates a spatial coherence of the trends; the lack of spatial coherence points to local peculiarities or data problems of individual stations. The method of sliding seasons proves to be much more effective in the identification and localization of notable trend events than the ordinary approach of trend detection for fixed calendar seasons and/or months.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Annual cycle of temperature trends in Europe, 1961-2000

Popis výsledku anglicky

Recent global warming has not been ubiquitous: there are seasons, regions, and time periods with negligible or even negative air temperature trends (frequently referred to as warming holes). This paper presents a novel method enabling a proper localization of specific trend events, such as periods of warming holes, of a particularly strong warming, and of rapid transitions of trend amplitudes during the calendar year. The method consists in analyzing trends for periods of a given length (10 to 90 days) that are sliding over the year with a one day step. The analysis is conducted for daily maximum and minimum temperature at 135 stations in Europe in 1961-2000. Despite an overall warming in Europe, several warming holes are uncovered during various parts of the year, not only in autumn when a warming hole has already been reported. The main warming hole in autumn concentrates in Eastern Europe and three shorter warming holes are detected: In February and March, cooling occurs in the Eastern Mediterranean and Iceland, while in early April, cooling is detected over Central, Southern, and Southeastern Europe. Another large-scale cooling occurs in Central, Northern, and Northwestern Europe in mid-June. The periods of strongest warming occur around the middle of January in Eastern Europe, in early March over almost entire Europe, and in mid-May and early August mainly over Central and Western Europe. Cluster analysis of stations with respect to the annual cycles of trends demonstrates a spatial coherence of the trends; the lack of spatial coherence points to local peculiarities or data problems of individual stations. The method of sliding seasons proves to be much more effective in the identification and localization of notable trend events than the ordinary approach of trend detection for fixed calendar seasons and/or months.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10508 - Physical geography

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA16-04676S" target="_blank" >GA16-04676S: Nové přístupy k určování klimatických trendů a jejich statistické významnosti</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Global and Planetary Change

ISSN

0921-8181

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

170

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

November 2018

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

17

Strana od-do

146-162

Kód UT WoS článku

000447477100011

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85052849210