Local population collapse of Ross's and lesser snow geese driven by failing recruitment and diminished philopatry

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F22%3A10454439" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/22:10454439 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Dn.1WIpRSM" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Dn.1WIpRSM</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/oik.09184" target="_blank" >10.1111/oik.09184</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Local population collapse of Ross's and lesser snow geese driven by failing recruitment and diminished philopatry

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Dynamics of free-ranging animal populations can result from complex interplays of survival, recruitment and movement. Yet incomplete understanding of demography impedes conservation strategies intended to modify population dynamics of focal species. We estimated survival and per capita production of young, as well as emigration and immigration, from 1997 to 2017 in Ross&apos;s goose Anser rossii and lesser snow goose Anser caerulescens caerulescens, which are sympatric species of migratory birds that nest in the central Canadian Arctic at one of the largest breeding colonies in North America. We formed age-structured integrated population models (IPMs) for each species that jointly analyzed live and dead encounter data as well as breeding adult population size and fecundity data to understand drivers of population dynamics. We compared the demography between species because both species increased during the 1990s and early 2000s yet thereafter snow geese declined, while Ross&apos;s geese continued to increase, then stabilized and similarly declined. Declines in Ross&apos;s and snow goose populations were caused by reduced per capita production of young, and juvenile survival, as well as increased adult and juvenile emigration. Stronger declines in juvenile survival in snow geese explain their earlier population decline compared to Ross&apos;s geese. Despite the divergence in population trends in Ross&apos;s and snow geese, we found strong synchrony in demographic rates which suggested substantial emigration from this colony and similar responses to environmental conditions. Direct estimation of demographic patterns in the IPM framework permitted hypothesis testing and inference about the role of immigration, even though immigrant sources were unsampled. We provide a novel m-array implementation specific to a multi-state Burnham model which greatly improved computational efficiency and convergence of posterior estimates. Our findings are an important reminder of the role that permanent movements can play in animal demography and metapopulation structure.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Local population collapse of Ross's and lesser snow geese driven by failing recruitment and diminished philopatry

Popis výsledku anglicky

Dynamics of free-ranging animal populations can result from complex interplays of survival, recruitment and movement. Yet incomplete understanding of demography impedes conservation strategies intended to modify population dynamics of focal species. We estimated survival and per capita production of young, as well as emigration and immigration, from 1997 to 2017 in Ross&apos;s goose Anser rossii and lesser snow goose Anser caerulescens caerulescens, which are sympatric species of migratory birds that nest in the central Canadian Arctic at one of the largest breeding colonies in North America. We formed age-structured integrated population models (IPMs) for each species that jointly analyzed live and dead encounter data as well as breeding adult population size and fecundity data to understand drivers of population dynamics. We compared the demography between species because both species increased during the 1990s and early 2000s yet thereafter snow geese declined, while Ross&apos;s geese continued to increase, then stabilized and similarly declined. Declines in Ross&apos;s and snow goose populations were caused by reduced per capita production of young, and juvenile survival, as well as increased adult and juvenile emigration. Stronger declines in juvenile survival in snow geese explain their earlier population decline compared to Ross&apos;s geese. Despite the divergence in population trends in Ross&apos;s and snow geese, we found strong synchrony in demographic rates which suggested substantial emigration from this colony and similar responses to environmental conditions. Direct estimation of demographic patterns in the IPM framework permitted hypothesis testing and inference about the role of immigration, even though immigrant sources were unsampled. We provide a novel m-array implementation specific to a multi-state Burnham model which greatly improved computational efficiency and convergence of posterior estimates. Our findings are an important reminder of the role that permanent movements can play in animal demography and metapopulation structure.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Oikos

ISSN

0030-1299

e-ISSN

1600-0706

Svazek periodika

2022

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

5

Stát vydavatele periodika

DK - Dánské království

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

e09184

Kód UT WoS článku

000763848300001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85125603258