Vaccination and fertility: modelling the potential impact of Covid-19 vaccination on total fertility rate in Czechia

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F24%3A10488437" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/24:10488437 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=XK_0cXANMT" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=XK_0cXANMT</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-024-00236-x" target="_blank" >10.1186/s41118-024-00236-x</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Vaccination and fertility: modelling the potential impact of Covid-19 vaccination on total fertility rate in Czechia

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

As with Northern European countries, Czechia experienced unexpected fertility developments during the Covid-19 pandemic. Fertility in Czechia increased between 2020 and 2021 from 1.76 children per woman to 1.83. However, between 2021 and 2022, fertility fell significantly to just 1.62 children per woman. The main change that occurred between 2020 and 2021, which is thought to have affected fertility one year later, comprised vaccination against Covid-19. This vaccination of the adult population was very specific in terms of both its scope and the timing of vaccination for each age group as organised by the state. The mass scale of the vaccination campaign and its implementation within a very short period of time were unprecedented. However, along with the significant degree of uncertainty concerning the appropriateness of vaccination for pregnant women, vaccination was seen as a factor that potentially acted to significantly change women&apos;s reproductive plans in the short term and, as a consequence, potentially exerted a significant short-term impact on both birth rates and fertility indicators. This study models the maximum potential impact of vaccination on fertility levels under the assumption that all the vaccinated women chose to avoid conception in the month in which they were vaccinated. Applying the indirect standardisation principle, we calculated the expected monthly live births after excluding women who were vaccinated nine months earlier. The comparison of hypothetical and observed fertility revealed that the perceived potential impact of vaccination was largely consistent with the observed fertility decline in Czechia between 2021 and 2022.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Vaccination and fertility: modelling the potential impact of Covid-19 vaccination on total fertility rate in Czechia

Popis výsledku anglicky

As with Northern European countries, Czechia experienced unexpected fertility developments during the Covid-19 pandemic. Fertility in Czechia increased between 2020 and 2021 from 1.76 children per woman to 1.83. However, between 2021 and 2022, fertility fell significantly to just 1.62 children per woman. The main change that occurred between 2020 and 2021, which is thought to have affected fertility one year later, comprised vaccination against Covid-19. This vaccination of the adult population was very specific in terms of both its scope and the timing of vaccination for each age group as organised by the state. The mass scale of the vaccination campaign and its implementation within a very short period of time were unprecedented. However, along with the significant degree of uncertainty concerning the appropriateness of vaccination for pregnant women, vaccination was seen as a factor that potentially acted to significantly change women&apos;s reproductive plans in the short term and, as a consequence, potentially exerted a significant short-term impact on both birth rates and fertility indicators. This study models the maximum potential impact of vaccination on fertility levels under the assumption that all the vaccinated women chose to avoid conception in the month in which they were vaccinated. Applying the indirect standardisation principle, we calculated the expected monthly live births after excluding women who were vaccinated nine months earlier. The comparison of hypothetical and observed fertility revealed that the perceived potential impact of vaccination was largely consistent with the observed fertility decline in Czechia between 2021 and 2022.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50402 - Demography

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/LX22NPO5101" target="_blank" >LX22NPO5101: Národní institut pro výzkum socioekonomických dopadů nemocí a systémových rizik</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Genus

ISSN

0016-6987

e-ISSN

2035-5556

Svazek periodika

80

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

IT - Italská republika

Počet stran výsledku

19

Strana od-do

25

Kód UT WoS článku

001370234200001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85211184990