From Economic Turbulence to Demographic Change: Tracing the Pathways of the Second Demographic Transition in Post-Socialist Contexts
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F25%3A10486177" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/25:10486177 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=mIr-qRg9KS" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=mIr-qRg9KS</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2024.15" target="_blank" >10.14712/23361980.2024.15</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
From Economic Turbulence to Demographic Change: Tracing the Pathways of the Second Demographic Transition in Post-Socialist Contexts
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Building on the rich tapestry of demographic and economic research, this paper extends the analysis of the Second Demographic Transition (SDT) within the milieu of four post-socialist countries (PSCs) and Austria, shedding light on the nuanced interplay between economic variables and demographic indices such as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and the SDT1 Behavioral Index. Drawing from an extensive dataset spanning over two decades, the study applies Pearson's correlation analysis, Holt's Exponential Smoothing, and stepwise regression to unravel the complexities of demographic behaviors in the face of economic prosperity and inequality, as measured by GDP, Gini coefficient, and the HDI. The findings reaffirm the pivotal role of economic factors in shaping demographic trends and highlight the divergent paths PSCs have embarked upon compared to Austria, a representation of Western Europe's demographic evolution. This comparative analysis underscores the significance of wealth distribution in influencing demographic outcomes, offering a comprehensive understanding of the SDT's progression in the context of economic transitions. The research contributes to the broader discourse on demographic changes, providing insightful implications for policy and future studies in the dynamic landscape of post-socialist Europe and beyond.
Název v anglickém jazyce
From Economic Turbulence to Demographic Change: Tracing the Pathways of the Second Demographic Transition in Post-Socialist Contexts
Popis výsledku anglicky
Building on the rich tapestry of demographic and economic research, this paper extends the analysis of the Second Demographic Transition (SDT) within the milieu of four post-socialist countries (PSCs) and Austria, shedding light on the nuanced interplay between economic variables and demographic indices such as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and the SDT1 Behavioral Index. Drawing from an extensive dataset spanning over two decades, the study applies Pearson's correlation analysis, Holt's Exponential Smoothing, and stepwise regression to unravel the complexities of demographic behaviors in the face of economic prosperity and inequality, as measured by GDP, Gini coefficient, and the HDI. The findings reaffirm the pivotal role of economic factors in shaping demographic trends and highlight the divergent paths PSCs have embarked upon compared to Austria, a representation of Western Europe's demographic evolution. This comparative analysis underscores the significance of wealth distribution in influencing demographic outcomes, offering a comprehensive understanding of the SDT's progression in the context of economic transitions. The research contributes to the broader discourse on demographic changes, providing insightful implications for policy and future studies in the dynamic landscape of post-socialist Europe and beyond.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
50402 - Demography
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
—
Návaznosti
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2025
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Acta Universitatis Carolinae. Geographica
ISSN
0300-5402
e-ISSN
2336-1980
Svazek periodika
60
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
1
Stát vydavatele periodika
CZ - Česká republika
Počet stran výsledku
22
Strana od-do
24-45
Kód UT WoS článku
001436847200003
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-105004890741