Attributing the effects of climate change and forest disturbance on runoff using distributed modeling and indicators of hydrological alteration in Central European montane basins

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F25%3A10491337" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/25:10491337 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=D2KTH2ZrvY" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=D2KTH2ZrvY</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102101" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102101</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Attributing the effects of climate change and forest disturbance on runoff using distributed modeling and indicators of hydrological alteration in Central European montane basins

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This study examines the impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances on hydrological alterations in montane headwater basins. Using the MIKE SHE distributed hydrological model, scenario-based simulations assessed changes in runoff seasonality, evapotranspiration, streamflow, and variability. Hydrological alteration indicators were applied to disentangle the contributions of these drivers and their interactions under varying environmental conditions. The study is focused on eight unregulated basins in the headwaters of five mid-latitude mountain ranges in Czechia. The results demonstrated that the climate warming is the primary driver of hydrological change, causing shifts in runoff seasonality, increased evapotranspiration, and reduced streamflow. Forest disturbances amplify these effects during dry conditions, intensifying runoff variability, increasing low-flow frequency, and modifying peak flows. Regional differences show greater sensitivity in steeper eastern basins due to limited snow accumulation and higher runoff variability. This study highlights the interconnected impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances, with warming driving systemic shifts and disturbances acting as amplifiers in extreme conditions. Methodologically, the study provide a framework for disentangling the effects of climate and landcover changes on hydrology, and thus offering insights for managing sensitive montane ecosystems and water resources under changing environmental conditions.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Attributing the effects of climate change and forest disturbance on runoff using distributed modeling and indicators of hydrological alteration in Central European montane basins

Popis výsledku anglicky

This study examines the impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances on hydrological alterations in montane headwater basins. Using the MIKE SHE distributed hydrological model, scenario-based simulations assessed changes in runoff seasonality, evapotranspiration, streamflow, and variability. Hydrological alteration indicators were applied to disentangle the contributions of these drivers and their interactions under varying environmental conditions. The study is focused on eight unregulated basins in the headwaters of five mid-latitude mountain ranges in Czechia. The results demonstrated that the climate warming is the primary driver of hydrological change, causing shifts in runoff seasonality, increased evapotranspiration, and reduced streamflow. Forest disturbances amplify these effects during dry conditions, intensifying runoff variability, increasing low-flow frequency, and modifying peak flows. Regional differences show greater sensitivity in steeper eastern basins due to limited snow accumulation and higher runoff variability. This study highlights the interconnected impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances, with warming driving systemic shifts and disturbances acting as amplifiers in extreme conditions. Methodologically, the study provide a framework for disentangling the effects of climate and landcover changes on hydrology, and thus offering insights for managing sensitive montane ecosystems and water resources under changing environmental conditions.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10508 - Physical geography

Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies

ISSN

2214-5818

e-ISSN

2214-5818

Svazek periodika

57

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

February

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

22

Strana od-do

102101

Kód UT WoS článku

001385167100001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85211231870