Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11320%2F11%3A10110133" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11320/11:10110133 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/68378289:_____/11:00368524

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0362-z" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0362-z</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0362-z" target="_blank" >10.1007/s00704-010-0362-z</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The study examines future scenarios of precipitation extremes over Central Europe in an ensemble of 12 regional climate model (RCM) simulations with the 25-km resolution, carried out within the European project ENSEMBLES. We apply the region-of-influencemethod as a pooling scheme when estimating distributions of extremes, which consists in incorporating data from a 'region' (set of gridboxes) when fitting an extreme value distribution in any single gridbox. The method reduces random variations in the estimates of parameters of the extreme value distribution that result from large spatial variability of heavy precipitation. Although spatial patterns differ among the models, most RCMs simulate increases in high quantiles of precipitation amounts when averaged over the area for the late-twenty-first century (2070-2099) climate in both winter and summer. The sign as well as the magnitude of the projected change vary only little for individual parts of the distribution of daily precipitati

Název v anglickém jazyce

Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models

Popis výsledku anglicky

The study examines future scenarios of precipitation extremes over Central Europe in an ensemble of 12 regional climate model (RCM) simulations with the 25-km resolution, carried out within the European project ENSEMBLES. We apply the region-of-influencemethod as a pooling scheme when estimating distributions of extremes, which consists in incorporating data from a 'region' (set of gridboxes) when fitting an extreme value distribution in any single gridbox. The method reduces random variations in the estimates of parameters of the extreme value distribution that result from large spatial variability of heavy precipitation. Although spatial patterns differ among the models, most RCMs simulate increases in high quantiles of precipitation amounts when averaged over the area for the late-twenty-first century (2070-2099) climate in both winter and summer. The sign as well as the magnitude of the projected change vary only little for individual parts of the distribution of daily precipitati

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GAP209%2F10%2F2265" target="_blank" >GAP209/10/2265: Reprodukce vztahů mezi atmosférickou cirkulací a rozděleními přízemní teploty vzduchu a srážek v klimatických modelech</a><br>

Návaznosti

Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Rok uplatnění

2011

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Theorectical and Applied Climatology

ISSN

0177-798X

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

2011

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

14

Strana od-do

529-542

Kód UT WoS článku

000290935400021

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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