The Role of Biomass in Decarbonisation Efforts: Spatially Enriched Energy System Optimisation Modelling
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11690%2F23%3A10477052" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11690/23:10477052 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Rnbb9LGhQ" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=Rnbb9LGhQ</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en16217380" target="_blank" >10.3390/en16217380</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
The Role of Biomass in Decarbonisation Efforts: Spatially Enriched Energy System Optimisation Modelling
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Forests are a potentially carbon-negative energy source and function as carbon sinks. However, both of these functions have become threatened significantly by spruce bark beetle infestation in Czechia. This paper assesses how this ecological issue may affect the future energy mix, and in the process, affect carbon emission reduction targets and the available share of renewable energy sources (RESs). We assess several forest development scenarios with three policy incentives: subsidising wood pellet production, striving for climate neutrality, and adhering to ecological constraints. We build a spatially enriched energy system model, TIMES-CZ, based on Eurostat's NUTS3 regions. We find that the spruce bark beetle infestation may not exert a lasting influence on overall decarbonisation pathways, the energy mix, or system-wide costs in any forest scenario. The RESs share is affected only until 2030, and the effect is minimal, at <1.5 percentage points. Nevertheless, Czechia's RES contribution is far below the 45% 2030 EU target. Subsidising wood pellet production is a costly transition that does not contribute to meeting the target. Limiting forest biomass availability and adhering to ecological constraints increase the overall system costs and worsen the chances of meeting decarbonisation targets.
Název v anglickém jazyce
The Role of Biomass in Decarbonisation Efforts: Spatially Enriched Energy System Optimisation Modelling
Popis výsledku anglicky
Forests are a potentially carbon-negative energy source and function as carbon sinks. However, both of these functions have become threatened significantly by spruce bark beetle infestation in Czechia. This paper assesses how this ecological issue may affect the future energy mix, and in the process, affect carbon emission reduction targets and the available share of renewable energy sources (RESs). We assess several forest development scenarios with three policy incentives: subsidising wood pellet production, striving for climate neutrality, and adhering to ecological constraints. We build a spatially enriched energy system model, TIMES-CZ, based on Eurostat's NUTS3 regions. We find that the spruce bark beetle infestation may not exert a lasting influence on overall decarbonisation pathways, the energy mix, or system-wide costs in any forest scenario. The RESs share is affected only until 2030, and the effect is minimal, at <1.5 percentage points. Nevertheless, Czechia's RES contribution is far below the 45% 2030 EU target. Subsidising wood pellet production is a costly transition that does not contribute to meeting the target. Limiting forest biomass availability and adhering to ecological constraints increase the overall system costs and worsen the chances of meeting decarbonisation targets.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
<a href="/cs/project/TL02000440" target="_blank" >TL02000440: Modelování scénářů udržitelné skladby lesa ve vztahu k navrženým adaptačním opatřením, vlivu na sektor energetiky, emise skleníkových plynů a celková přijatelnost těchto scénářů pro českou veřejnost</a><br>
Návaznosti
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2023
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Energies
ISSN
1996-1073
e-ISSN
1996-1073
Svazek periodika
16
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
21
Stát vydavatele periodika
CH - Švýcarská konfederace
Počet stran výsledku
18
Strana od-do
7380
Kód UT WoS článku
001103352200001
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85176360686